SUBJECT

Title

Time series analysis

Type of instruction

lecture + practical

Level

master

Part of degree program
Credits

2+1

Recommended in

Semester 3

Typically offered in

Autumn semester

Course description

Probability distributions for the main meteorological elements. Estimation and checking of probability distributions. Concept of stochastic processes and time series. Estimation of main characteristics (expected value, covariance and correlation functions) of stochastic processes. ARMA models. Trend analysis. Spectral analysis, traditional estimation of spectra. Extreme value theory.

Readings
  • Hans von Storch and Francis W. Zwiers, 1999: Statistical Analysis in Climate Research, Cambridge University Press.
  • Laurens de Haan and Ana Ferreira, 2006: Extreme value theory. Springer. 418 pp.
  • Olavi Kärner, 2012: Quantifying and Modeling Climate Time Series. Springer. 240 pp.